Kutshanje, bekukho amarhe kwimarike yehlabathi yeendlela zeekhonteyina ukubaIndlela yaseMelika, iIndlela yoMbindi Mpuma, iIndlela yase-mpuma ye-Asiakunye nezinye iindlela ezininzi ziye zafumana ukuqhuma kwesibhakabhaka, nto leyo eye yatsala ingqalelo enkulu. Oku kunjalo ngokwenene, kwaye le nto ikwabangele umkhwa wokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Kwenzeka ntoni ngokwenene?
"Umdlalo weChess" ukunciphisa amandla
Iinkampani ezininzi zokuthutha imithwalo (kuquka iSenghor Logistics) kunye nabantu abangaphakathi kwishishini baqinisekisile ukuba esona sizathu sokuqhuma kwesithuba kukubaIinkampani zokuthutha imithwalo ziye zanciphisa umthamo weenqanawa ngobuchule ukuze zinyuse amaxabiso emithwalo kunyaka ozayoLe ndlela ayiqhelekanga ekupheleni konyaka, njengoko iinkampani zokuthutha ngenqanawa zihlala zifuna ukufikelela kumazinga aphezulu emithwalo yexesha elide kunyaka olandelayo.
Ingxelo yamva nje ka-Alphaliner ibonisa ukuba ukusukela oko kwangena kwikota yesine, inani leenqanawa zeenqwelwana ezingenanto kwihlabathi liphela liye landa kakhulu. Okwangoku kukho iinqanawa zeenqwelwana ezingama-315 ezingenanto kwihlabathi liphela, zizonke zifikelela kwi-1.18 yezigidi ze-TEU. Oku kuthetha ukuba kukho ezinye iinqanawa zeenqwelwana ezingama-44 ezingenanto kuneeveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo.
Amaxabiso okuthutha impahla ngendlela yokuthutha impahla e-US andisa umkhwa kunye nezizathu zokuqhuma kwesithuba
Kwindlela yase-US, imeko yangoku yokuqhuma kwesithuba sokuthunyelwa kwempahla iye yanda ukuya kwiveki yama-46 (oko kukuthi phakathi kuNovemba), kwaye ezinye iinkampani ezinkulu zokuthunyelwa kwempahla nazo zibhengeze ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthunyelwa kwempahla nge-US$300/FEU. Ngokweendlela zangaphambili zokunyuka kwamaxabiso okuthunyelwa kwempahla, umahluko osisiseko wamaxabiso ezibuko phakathi kwe-US West kunye ne-US East kufuneka ube malunga ne-US$1,000/FEU, kodwa uluhlu lomahluko wamaxabiso lunokuncipha luye kwi-US$200/FEU ekuqaleni kukaNovemba, nto leyo eqinisekisa ngokungangqalanga imeko yokuqhuma kwesithuba e-US West.
Ukongeza kwiinkampani zokuthutha impahla ezinciphisa umthamo, kukho nezinye izinto ezichaphazela indlela yaseMelika.Ixesha lokuthenga "iBlack Friday" kunye neKrismesi eMelika zihlala zivela ngoJulayi ukuya kuSeptemba, kodwa kulo nyaka abanye abanini bemithwalo basenokuba balinde ukubona imeko yokusetyenziswa kwempahla, nto leyo ekhokelela ekulibazisekeni kwemfuno. Ukongeza, ukuthunyelwa kweenqanawa ezikhawulezayo ukusuka eShanghai ukuya eMelika nako kuchaphazela amaxabiso empahla.
Iindlela zokuthuthwa kwempahla kwezinye iindlela
Xa sijonga isalathisi sempahla, amazinga empahla nawo anyukile kwiindlela ezininzi. Ingxelo yeveki nganye kwimarike yokuthunyelwa kweekhonteyina ethunyelwa ngaphandle yaseTshayina ekhutshwe yiShanghai Shipping Exchange ibonisa ukuba amazinga empahla ethunyelwa ngenqanawa yolwandle anyuke ngokuthe chu, kwaye isalathisi esipheleleyo sitshintshile kancinci. Ngo-Okthobha 20, iShanghai Export Container Comprehensive Freight Index ekhutshwe yiShanghai Shipping Exchange yayingamanqaku angama-917.66, ukunyuka kwe-2.9% ukusuka kwingxelo yangaphambili.
Umzekelo, isalathisi esipheleleyo sempahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle kwiikhonteyina ezivela eShanghai sinyuke nge-2.9%, indlela yasePersian Gulf inyuke nge-14.4%, kwayeIndlela yaseMzantsi Melikainyuke nge-12.6%. Nangona kunjalo, amaxabiso okuthutha impahla kwiIindlela zaseYurophubezizinzile kwaye imfuno ibicotha kancinci, kodwa iziseko zokubonelela kunye nemfuno ziye zahlala zizinzile kancinci kancinci.
Esi siganeko "sokuqhuma kwesibhakabhaka" kwiindlela zehlabathi sibonakala silula, kodwa kukho izinto ezininzi ezingasemva kwaso, kuquka ukunciphisa amandla obuchule beenkampani zokuthutha kunye nezinye izinto ezithile zonyaka. Nokuba kunjalo, esi siganeko sibe nefuthe elicacileyo kwizinga lokuthutha impahla kwaye satsala ingqalelo yeshishini lokuthutha impahla kwihlabathi liphela.
Njengoko sijongene nemeko yokuqhuma kwesithuba kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwiindlela ezinkulu kwihlabathi liphela,Izinto zoLungiselelo zaseSenghorcebisa ukubaBonke abathengi mabaqiniseke ukuba babhukisha indawo kwangaphambili kwaye bangalindeli ukuba inkampani yokuthumela ihlaziye ixabiso ngaphambi kokuba benze isigqibo. Kuba xa ixabiso lihlaziyiwe, indawo yesikhongozeli isenokuba ibhukishwe ngokupheleleyo.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Okthobha-30-2023
